FozzieSov is due to launch on July 14, one week after the Aegis update. With it will come a complete re-working of the way sovereignty works, focusing more on individual reinforcement actions and (hopefully) small gang capture actions. I’ve talked about FozzieSov here and here. I’ve expressed the concern that null-sec won’t be worth the cost of holding it. FozzieSov is in a better place now than it was originally, but like the fleet warp changes, it still has its problems.
After doing a lot of listening and thinking, here are my predictions about changes we’re going to see directly as a result of FozzieSov (and not including other changes happening around the same time).
Prediction #1: Concurrent user counts depend on FozzieSov’s success.
This one is a bit of a no-brainer, but Eve logged-in player counts are going to be in a world of hurt if FozzieSov is seen as a giant mistake. A huge factor affecting this perception is going to be how – and how quickly – CCP adjusts null-sec income and “worth”. As of now, we’ve seen absolutely nothing about CCP’s strategies on how they intend on adjusting null-sec value to overcome the headaches null-sec alliances are going to have to cope with. If they can respond quickly and effectively, this can herald the beginning of a golden age for a balkanized null-sec. If it fails, they’ll destroy any interest in null-sec and it’ll become even less occupied than it is now. The implications of this result would be staggering and massive.